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The people building Brazil, in their own words.

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Enable Brazil · Q1 report · Alpha

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01Operators, hyperscalers and the capital behind the Brazil build 02Advisers, counsel and the supply chain that delivers it 03Partners who want their name on the programme

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The compute vote.

Lula has won reelection. The presidency is settled; implementation is the next test.

The read. Lula 51.78%, Flávio Bolsonaro 48.22% of valid votes in the TSE snapshot at 22:38 BRT, 25 October, with 99.99% of sections processed. ReDATA regulation, chip access and grid delivery remain separate milestones.

The count
Lula
President reelectedRunoff held 25 October
4 OctFirst round held. Flávio 47.03%, Lula 45.16%. 25 OctRunoff held. Lula wins reelection. 5 Jan2027 inauguration. The returning administration takes office.
Read the case →
Historical polls · campaign archive
35 40 45 50 J F M A M J J A S O Endorsement The tape Tariffs 4 Oct 25 Oct Quaest/Genial, 2026-01-14: Lula 45Quaest/Genial, 2026-01-14: Flavio 38 Datafolha, 2026-04-11: Lula 45Datafolha, 2026-04-11: Flavio 46 AtlasIntel/Bloomberg, 2026-04-28: Lula 47.5AtlasIntel/Bloomberg, 2026-04-28: Flavio 47.8 Quaest/Genial, 2026-06-10: Lula 44Quaest/Genial, 2026-06-10: Flavio 38 Datafolha, 2026-06-20: Lula 47Datafolha, 2026-06-20: Flavio 43 Quaest/Genial, 2026-07-15: Lula 45Quaest/Genial, 2026-07-15: Flavio 37 BTG/Nexus, 2026-07-26: Lula 47BTG/Nexus, 2026-07-26: Flavio 43 Quaest/Genial, 2026-08-05: Lula 44Quaest/Genial, 2026-08-05: Flavio 39 Quaest/Globo, 2026-08-14: Lula 43Quaest/Globo, 2026-08-14: Flavio 40 Quaest, 2026-09-21: Lula 41Quaest, 2026-09-21: Flavio 42 BTG/Nexus, 2026-09-21: Lula 46BTG/Nexus, 2026-09-21: Flavio 45 LulaFlávio
Quaest · 21 Sep
Lula41
Flávio42
BTG/Nexus · 21 Sep
Lula46
Flávio45

Historical September readings, before the first round. Lula later won the 25 October runoff. The dotted lines are the three moments Washington put its hand on the race: the endorsement, the tape and the tariffs.

Sociogencia · the politics of the build

Two candidates, read against the stack.Twelve exhibits. Six questions. Every claim graded.

Updated the week of each round.

Read The Compute Vote →